Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Wisconsin · U.S. House

Wisconsin 1st District

Mitchell Berman wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Mitchell Berman D won 158,839 52.0%
Bryan Steil R 146,885 48.0%
Total305,724

223 of 223 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Racine 82,170 R +0.9 R +6.2 D +5.4 100%
Kenosha 66,999 D +4.0 R +6.3 D +10.3 100%
Milwaukee 65,069 D +10.2 R +0.9 D +11.1 100%
Rock 49,889 D +18.8 D +9.7 D +9.0 100%
Walworth 41,597 R +14.4 R +21.2 D +6.8 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+13,008 votes305,724D +3.9
Mitchell Berman wins——
+1,194 votes292,716D +4.6
+1,428 votes291,522D +4.5
+10,109 votes290,094D +4.4
+6,625 votes279,985D +2.9
+1,948 votes273,360D +2.6
+17,410 votes271,412D +2.3
+1,039 votes254,002D +2.9
+2,656 votes252,963D +2.8
+4,333 votes250,307D +2.4
+1,185 votes245,974D +1.7