Washington 9th District

Adam Smith wins. Called.

59% counted

Candidate	Votes	Share
Adam Smith D won	133,870	75.6%
Doug Basler R	43,322	24.4%
Total	177,192

Last vote update Nov 5, 4:33 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

Place	Votes	Margin	2024 president	Shift	Counted
King	177,192	D +51.1	D +42.7	D +8.4	59%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

Time	Update	Total votes	Margin
Nov 5, 4:34 PM	+19,747 votes	177,192	D +51.1
Nov 4, 5:13 PM	+17,502 votes	157,445	D +51.5
Nov 3, 9:15 PM	+139,943 votes	139,943	D +51.2
Nov 3, 9:00 PM	Adam Smith wins	—	—

Forecast

Called.

Lead now: Smith +51.1
Votes left: About 122,000
Those votes should favor: Smith +50.9
Projected finish: Smith +51.0
80% range: Smith +44.5 to Smith +57.5
To catch up: Basler needs to win the rest by 74.0 points

Prediction markets

Market	Democrat wins	Traded
Kalshi	>99%	20K contracts
Polymarket	>99%	$58K

Chance a Democrat wins since Nov 3, 5:55 PM. Polymarket 97% · Kalshi >99%

Against past results

This year so far	D +51.1
2022 House	D +43.5
2024 President, statewide	D +18.9
Shift from 2024 president same places	D +8.4
Published pre-election estimate	D +48.0

By type of ballot

Type	Votes	Margin
Mail	177,192	D +51.1

Also in Washington

All Washington

WA-01 WA-02 WA-03 WA-04 WA-05 WA-06 WA-07 WA-08 WA-10