Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States

Maine

1 race undecided, about 97% counted, 1 changed party. The state's House vote has moved R +20.2 since 2024. D +0.7 since 2022.

How the count runs here

In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 6 points more Democratic than that report, in the same places. An early Republican lead here can shrink.

Stats

Each race against past elections

RaceSince 2024Since 2022
U.S. SenateR +0.9—
GovernorD +11.3D +4.8
District 1D +8.8D +6.3
District 2R +52.7R +5.6

Statewide

U.S. Senate

Troy Jackson won
52.4%376,132
Susan Collins
46.3%332,446
Blank Votes
1.2%8,369
95% counted

Governor

Hannah Pingree won
54.4%386,970
Bobby Charles
37.5%266,841
Rick Bennett
8.1%57,754
95% counted

Congress

District 1

Chellie Pingree won
65.4%247,947
Ronald Russell
33.5%127,098
Blank Votes
1.0%3,877
97% counted

District 2

Paul LePage >99% chance
49.9%170,265
Matt Dunlap
48.3%164,845
Blank Votes
1.8%6,021
97% counted

Counties

CountyVotesCountedSince 2024Since 2022
Cumberland175,434100%D +7.5D +6.1
York111,82695%D +10.5D +5.1
Penobscot72,63697%D +9.6D +0.2
Kennebec62,92098%D +7.0R +4.2
Androscoggin51,27199%D +5.4R +10.6
Oxford29,64497%D +6.2R +9.8
Aroostook29,33894%D +6.0R +10.6
Hancock28,028100%D +9.2D +1.4
Somerset22,91494%D +7.1R +8.8
Waldo22,465100%D +8.8R +2.2
Knox21,84493%D +9.8D +9.1
Lincoln20,60694%D +8.1D +7.4
Sagadahoc20,72892%D +9.3D +9.1
Franklin15,54298%D +5.5R +12.3
Washington15,19196%D +11.4R +2.8
Piscataquis8,44796%D +5.8R +7.6