Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research
Forecasts. Results. Evidence.
Arizona · 2026 election coverage
2026 election results and ballot analysis for the county's share of state and federal contests. Explore local offices, propositions and the communities within Yuma County.
An estimate, from the county's progress in the governor's race. How Arizona's count runs.
State and federal coverage. This page includes the county's portion of the statewide results. Local county offices, municipal contests, school boards and special districts may be missing. See the county's official results for that coverage.
Results file posted Nov 5, 5:26 PM. Source checked Nov 5, 5:30 PM.
Observed returns, unofficial until certified. “Ahead” describes the current count; it is not a local race call. Candidate selections in multi-seat contests are not ballots. Precinct reporting does not establish how many ballots remain.
30,546 valid candidate selections are reported for governor in this county observation. Katie Hobbs / John Giles ahead by 1,692 votes (5.5 points).
This is a county portion of a statewide contest. A county lead is not a statewide election outcome.
State Mine Inspector: Walter "Les" Presmyk ahead by 67 votes (0.2 points).
The smallest verifiable seat-boundary gap among covered candidate contests with a known seat count. A gap is withheld if unassigned write-ins could change its ranking. District races show this county's portion.
Among the 8 covered propositions with yes/no choices, Yes is ahead in 7 and No in 1. Ties and unreported counts remain unresolved. These are observed leads, not declarations that a measure passed or failed.
All named candidates and reported write-in groups are retained. Shares use valid candidate selections for that contest, excluding overvotes and undervotes. A multi-seat share is not the percentage of voters supporting a candidate.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Kris Mayes D | 15,418 | 51.0% |
| Warren Petersen R | 14,821 | 49.0% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 22 | 0.1% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
30,261 valid selections. 47 of 47 precincts reporting.
Kris Mayes ahead by 597 votes (2.0 points).
Statewide forecast: Mayes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Clara Pratte D | 13,923 | 25.7% |
| Kevin Thompson R | 13,874 | 25.6% |
| Ralph Heap R | 12,750 | 23.5% |
| Jonathon Hill D | 12,733 | 23.5% |
| Mike Cease G | 960 | 1.8% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 34 | 0.1% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
54,274 valid selections. 47 of 47 precincts reporting.
1,124 votes between the current last seat position and the next candidate.
Statewide forecast: Pratte >99%, Hill 98%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Katie Hobbs / John Giles D | 15,711 | 51.4% |
| Andy Biggs / Sine Kerr R | 14,019 | 45.9% |
| Risa Lombardo / Lisa Castillo G | 525 | 1.7% |
| Teri Ann Hourihan / Angela Harrolle Mohan N | 269 | 0.9% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 20 | 0.1% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 2 | 0.0% |
| Alice Novoa R | 0 | 0.0% |
| Gertritrude Gonzalez R | 0 | 0.0% |
30,546 valid selections. 47 of 47 precincts reporting.
Katie Hobbs / John Giles ahead by 1,692 votes (5.5 points).
Called statewide: Hobbs. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Fontes D | 15,239 | 50.2% |
| Alexander Kolodin R | 14,584 | 48.0% |
| Duwayne Collier G | 537 | 1.8% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 12 | 0.0% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
30,372 valid selections. 47 of 47 precincts reporting.
Adrian Fontes ahead by 655 votes (2.2 points).
Statewide forecast: Fontes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Walter "Les" Presmyk R | 14,984 | 50.1% |
| Brian Matlock D | 14,917 | 49.8% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 33 | 0.1% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
29,934 valid selections. 47 of 47 precincts reporting.
Walter "Les" Presmyk ahead by 67 votes (0.2 points).
Statewide forecast: Matlock 97%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Emilia Cortez D | 7,701 | 34.0% |
| Mariana Sandoval D | 7,562 | 33.4% |
| Michele Peña R | 3,848 | 17.0% |
| Gary Garcia Snyder R | 3,526 | 15.6% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 19 | 0.1% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
22,656 valid selections. 26 of 26 precincts reporting.
3,714 votes between the current last seat position and the next candidate.
Statewide forecast: Sandoval >99%, Cortez >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Carbone R | 9,421 | 37.5% |
| Nickolas "Nick" Kupper R | 9,091 | 36.2% |
| Tiffany Byrne D | 6,558 | 26.1% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 67 | 0.3% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
25,137 valid selections. 21 of 21 precincts reporting.
2,533 votes between the current last seat position and the next candidate.
Statewide forecast: Carbone >99%, Kupper 95%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Fernandez D | 8,838 | 67.7% |
| Michelle Altherr R | 4,195 | 32.2% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 14 | 0.1% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
13,047 valid selections. 26 of 26 precincts reporting.
Brian Fernandez ahead by 4,643 votes (35.6 points).
Statewide forecast: Fernandez >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Timothy "Tim" Dunn R | 11,034 | 63.4% |
| Laura Huber D | 6,357 | 36.5% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 12 | 0.1% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
17,403 valid selections. 21 of 21 precincts reporting.
Timothy "Tim" Dunn ahead by 4,677 votes (26.9 points).
Statewide forecast: Dunn >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Elijah Norton R | 15,116 | 50.1% |
| Nick Mansour D | 15,019 | 49.8% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 17 | 0.1% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
30,152 valid selections. 47 of 47 precincts reporting.
Elijah Norton ahead by 97 votes (0.3 points).
Statewide forecast: Mansour >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Teresa Leyba Ruiz D | 15,186 | 50.2% |
| Kimberly Yee R | 15,037 | 49.7% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 19 | 0.1% |
| Stephen Neal Jr. N | 7 | 0.0% |
| Gerard Davis G | 2 | 0.0% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
30,251 valid selections. 47 of 47 precincts reporting.
Teresa Leyba Ruiz ahead by 149 votes (0.5 points).
Statewide forecast: Ruiz 98%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Adelita Grijalva D | 9,054 | 67.5% |
| Daniel Francis Butierez Sr. R | 4,348 | 32.4% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 18 | 0.1% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
13,420 valid selections. 27 of 27 precincts reporting.
Adelita Grijalva ahead by 4,706 votes (35.1 points).
Called statewide: Grijalva. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Gosar R | 10,590 | 62.5% |
| Danielle "Dani" Sterbinsky D | 6,339 | 37.4% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 19 | 0.1% |
| William Perry I | 3 | 0.0% |
| G. Seville Hatch I | 0 | 0.0% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
16,951 valid selections. 20 of 20 precincts reporting.
Paul Gosar ahead by 4,251 votes (25.1 points).
Called statewide: Gosar. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 15,868 | 54.2% |
| No | 13,425 | 45.8% |
29,293 valid selections. 47 of 47 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 2,443 votes (8.3 points).
Statewide forecast: Yes 83%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| No | 16,959 | 58.1% |
| Yes | 12,249 | 41.9% |
29,208 valid selections. 47 of 47 precincts reporting.
No ahead by 4,710 votes (16.1 points).
Statewide forecast: No >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 15,607 | 53.2% |
| No | 13,703 | 46.8% |
29,310 valid selections. 47 of 47 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 1,904 votes (6.5 points).
Statewide forecast: No >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 19,188 | 66.6% |
| No | 9,635 | 33.4% |
28,823 valid selections. 47 of 47 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 9,553 votes (33.1 points).
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 19,371 | 66.0% |
| No | 9,963 | 34.0% |
29,334 valid selections. 47 of 47 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 9,408 votes (32.1 points).
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20,036 | 68.1% |
| No | 9,407 | 31.9% |
29,443 valid selections. 47 of 47 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 10,629 votes (36.1 points).
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 17,094 | 58.2% |
| No | 12,284 | 41.8% |
29,378 valid selections. 47 of 47 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 4,810 votes (16.4 points).
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 15,441 | 53.3% |
| No | 13,503 | 46.7% |
28,944 valid selections. 47 of 47 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 1,938 votes (6.7 points).
Statewide forecast: No 93%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 19,397 | 74.8% |
| No | 6,518 | 25.2% |
25,915 valid selections. 47 of 47 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 12,879 votes (49.7 points).
Meets standards in the Commission on Judicial Performance Review · On the bench since 2017
At or above the typical judge in every category.
| Rated acceptable or better | Score | Typical | Responses | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legal ability | 100% | 97% | 15 | |
| Integrity | 100% | 100% | 15 | |
| Communication | 100% | 100% | 19 | |
| Temperament | 100% | 100% | 20 | |
| Administration | 100% | 100% | 12 | |
26 of 127 voluntary surveys returned, February–September 2025, the later of two survey periods. Typical, the gold mark, is the median of the 15 appeals and Supreme Court judges reviewed.
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
Largest first, using dated population estimates. Population describes the whole municipality and is not used to allocate votes. A place spanning counties has one canonical page linked from each containing county.
Final county returns from 2000–2024. Different offices and electorates make this context for 2026, not a like-for-like estimate of the current election's final result.
| Year | Democratic votes | Republican votes | All votes | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 12,055 | 15,708 | 28,652 | R +12.7 |
| 2004 | 16,032 | 22,184 | 38,465 | R +16.0 |
| 2008 | 18,559 | 24,577 | 43,615 | R +13.8 |
| 2012 | 18,059 | 23,352 | 41,953 | R +12.6 |
| 2016 | 24,605 | 25,165 | 53,010 | R +1.1 |
| 2020 | 32,210 | 36,535 | 69,882 | R +6.2 |
| 2024 | 26,826 | 40,765 | 67,981 | R +20.5 |
Margin is Democratic minus Republican share of all valid votes. Historical returns are final; current returns remain unofficial. MIT Election Data and Science Lab (CC0 (MEDSL)); Polling Forecast; original VEST (CC BY 4.0 (VEST / Polling Forecast)); Polling Forecast; original MEDSL (CC0 (MEDSL); CC BY 4.0 (Polling Forecast redistribution)).
We do not infer local winners, certification, turnout, remaining ballots or citywide or districtwide results from precinct percentages, population, county totals or the number of seats. Your own ballot depends on your registered address.