Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research
Forecasts. Results. Evidence.
Arizona · 2026 election coverage
2026 election results and ballot analysis for the county's share of state and federal contests. Explore local offices, propositions and the communities within Pinal County.
An estimate, from the county's progress in the governor's race. How Arizona's count runs.
State and federal coverage. This page includes the county's portion of the statewide results. Local county offices, municipal contests, school boards and special districts may be missing. See the county's official results for that coverage.
Results file posted Nov 5, 5:26 PM. Source checked Nov 5, 5:30 PM.
Observed returns, unofficial until certified. “Ahead” describes the current count; it is not a local race call. Candidate selections in multi-seat contests are not ballots. Precinct reporting does not establish how many ballots remain.
147,681 valid candidate selections are reported for governor in this county observation. Andy Biggs / Sine Kerr ahead by 3,273 votes (2.2 points).
This is a county portion of a statewide contest. A county lead is not a statewide election outcome.
State Representative - District No. 17: 25 votes between the current last seat position and the next candidate.
The smallest verifiable seat-boundary gap among covered candidate contests with a known seat count. A gap is withheld if unassigned write-ins could change its ranking. District races show this county's portion.
Among the 8 covered propositions with yes/no choices, Yes is ahead in 7 and No in 1. Ties and unreported counts remain unresolved. These are observed leads, not declarations that a measure passed or failed.
All named candidates and reported write-in groups are retained. Shares use valid candidate selections for that contest, excluding overvotes and undervotes. A multi-seat share is not the percentage of voters supporting a candidate.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Warren Petersen R | 76,594 | 52.2% |
| Kris Mayes D | 70,138 | 47.8% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 110 | 0.1% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
146,842 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
Warren Petersen ahead by 6,456 votes (4.4 points).
Statewide forecast: Mayes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Thompson R | 72,536 | 27.4% |
| Ralph Heap R | 68,213 | 25.8% |
| Clara Pratte D | 61,852 | 23.4% |
| Jonathon Hill D | 57,838 | 21.8% |
| Mike Cease G | 4,218 | 1.6% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 152 | 0.1% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
264,809 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
6,361 votes between the current last seat position and the next candidate.
Statewide forecast: Pratte >99%, Hill 98%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Biggs / Sine Kerr R | 73,982 | 50.1% |
| Katie Hobbs / John Giles D | 70,709 | 47.9% |
| Risa Lombardo / Lisa Castillo G | 1,496 | 1.0% |
| Teri Ann Hourihan / Angela Harrolle Mohan N | 1,380 | 0.9% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 114 | 0.1% |
| Alice Novoa R | 0 | 0.0% |
| Gertritrude Gonzalez R | 0 | 0.0% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
147,681 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
Andy Biggs / Sine Kerr ahead by 3,273 votes (2.2 points).
Called statewide: Hobbs. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Kolodin R | 75,231 | 51.3% |
| Adrian Fontes D | 68,790 | 46.9% |
| Duwayne Collier G | 2,415 | 1.6% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 88 | 0.1% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
146,524 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
Alexander Kolodin ahead by 6,441 votes (4.4 points).
Statewide forecast: Fontes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Walter "Les" Presmyk R | 78,677 | 54.5% |
| Brian Matlock D | 65,658 | 45.4% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 142 | 0.1% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
144,477 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
Walter "Les" Presmyk ahead by 13,019 votes (9.0 points).
Statewide forecast: Matlock 97%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| James Rogers R | 1,745 | 28.6% |
| Justin Olson R | 1,708 | 28.0% |
| Helen Hunter D | 1,337 | 21.9% |
| Brian Calaway D | 1,204 | 19.7% |
| David Scott N | 110 | 1.8% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 3 | 0.0% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
6,107 valid selections. 3 of 3 precincts reporting.
371 votes between the current last seat position and the next candidate.
Statewide forecast: Olson >99%, Rogers >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Neal Carter R | 21,790 | 53.1% |
| Michael Way R | 17,889 | 43.6% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 1,320 | 3.2% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
40,999 valid selections. 32 of 32 precincts reporting.
Reported candidate selections; no local race call or seat outcome is inferred.
Statewide forecast: Carter >99%, Way >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Julia Romero Gusse D | 30,783 | 35.4% |
| Teresa Martinez R | 28,819 | 33.1% |
| Chris Lopez R | 26,941 | 31.0% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 416 | 0.5% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
86,959 valid selections. 61 of 61 precincts reporting.
1,878 votes between the current last seat position and the next candidate.
Statewide forecast: Gusse >99%, Martinez >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| John Winchester R | 4,985 | 26.0% |
| Hollace "Holly" Lyon D | 4,823 | 25.2% |
| Rachel "Jones" Keshel R | 4,798 | 25.0% |
| Kevin Volk D | 4,552 | 23.8% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 1 | 0.0% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
19,159 valid selections. 5 of 5 precincts reporting.
25 votes between the current last seat position and the next candidate.
Statewide forecast: Volk >99%, Lyon >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Mariana Sandoval D | 62 | 46.6% |
| Emilia Cortez D | 61 | 45.9% |
| Gary Garcia Snyder R | 5 | 3.8% |
| Michele Peña R | 5 | 3.8% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
133 valid selections. 1 of 1 precincts reporting.
56 votes between the current last seat position and the next candidate.
Statewide forecast: Sandoval >99%, Cortez >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Trachsel G | 0 | — |
| Ian Teller D | 0 | — |
| Mae Peshlakai D | 0 | — |
| Royce "Rj" Mark Jenkins R | 0 | — |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | — |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | — |
0 valid selections. 1 of 1 precincts reporting.
No votes reported in this observation.
Statewide forecast: Peshlakai >99%, Teller >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Walter "Walt" Blackman R | 18,570 | 33.2% |
| David Cook Sr. R | 18,391 | 32.9% |
| Samuel "Sam" Martin D | 14,071 | 25.2% |
| Richard Grayson G | 4,823 | 8.6% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 45 | 0.1% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
55,900 valid selections. 33 of 33 precincts reporting.
4,320 votes between the current last seat position and the next candidate.
Statewide forecast: Blackman >99%, Cook >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| David Christian Farnsworth R | 1,878 | 55.6% |
| Blair Moses D | 1,349 | 40.0% |
| Nick Fierro I | 148 | 4.4% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 1 | 0.0% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
3,376 valid selections. 3 of 3 precincts reporting.
David Christian Farnsworth ahead by 529 votes (15.7 points).
Statewide forecast: Farnsworth >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Hoffman R | 21,095 | 57.5% |
| Jayme Accalia D | 15,558 | 42.4% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 34 | 0.1% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
36,687 valid selections. 32 of 32 precincts reporting.
Jake Hoffman ahead by 5,537 votes (15.1 points).
Statewide forecast: Hoffman >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Thomas "T.J." Shope R | 30,270 | 50.5% |
| Elaine Aldrete D | 29,617 | 49.4% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 93 | 0.2% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
59,980 valid selections. 61 of 61 precincts reporting.
Thomas "T.J." Shope ahead by 653 votes (1.1 points).
Statewide forecast: Aldrete 98%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher King R | 5,243 | 51.7% |
| Edgar Soto D | 4,891 | 48.3% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 1 | 0.0% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
10,135 valid selections. 5 of 5 precincts reporting.
Christopher King ahead by 352 votes (3.5 points).
Statewide forecast: Soto >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Fernandez D | 74 | 94.9% |
| Michelle Altherr R | 4 | 5.1% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
78 valid selections. 1 of 1 precincts reporting.
Brian Fernandez ahead by 70 votes (89.7 points).
Statewide forecast: Fernandez >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Jamescita Peshlakai D | 0 | — |
| Lloyd Johnson R | 0 | — |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | — |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | — |
0 valid selections. 1 of 1 precincts reporting.
No votes reported in this observation.
Statewide forecast: Peshlakai >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Wendy Rogers R | 20,305 | 58.5% |
| Michiel "Mike" Montiel D | 14,349 | 41.4% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 26 | 0.1% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
34,680 valid selections. 33 of 33 precincts reporting.
Wendy Rogers ahead by 5,956 votes (17.2 points).
Statewide forecast: Rogers >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Elijah Norton R | 78,511 | 53.8% |
| Nick Mansour D | 67,183 | 46.1% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 172 | 0.1% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
145,866 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
Elijah Norton ahead by 11,328 votes (7.8 points).
Statewide forecast: Mansour >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Kimberly Yee R | 79,380 | 54.2% |
| Teresa Leyba Ruiz D | 66,823 | 45.6% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 194 | 0.1% |
| Gerard Davis G | 0 | 0.0% |
| Stephen Neal Jr. N | 0 | 0.0% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
146,397 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
Kimberly Yee ahead by 12,557 votes (8.6 points).
Statewide forecast: Ruiz 98%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Eli Crane R | 29,661 | 49.8% |
| Jonathan Nez D | 28,633 | 48.1% |
| Curtis Goodwin L | 1,208 | 2.0% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 44 | 0.1% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
59,546 valid selections. 59 of 59 precincts reporting.
Eli Crane ahead by 1,028 votes (1.7 points).
Statewide forecast: Crane 94%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Lamb R | 31,527 | 57.4% |
| Elizabeth Lee D | 23,276 | 42.4% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 83 | 0.2% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
54,886 valid selections. 46 of 46 precincts reporting.
Mark Lamb ahead by 8,251 votes (15.0 points).
Statewide forecast: Lamb 97%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Ciscomani R | 15,528 | 50.1% |
| JoAnna Mendoza D | 14,884 | 48.0% |
| Jereme Lance Peters L | 329 | 1.1% |
| Gary Swing G | 233 | 0.8% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 32 | 0.1% |
| Michael Dorland I | 0 | 0.0% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
31,006 valid selections. 27 of 27 precincts reporting.
Juan Ciscomani ahead by 644 votes (2.1 points).
Called statewide: Mendoza. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Francis Butierez Sr. R | 966 | 57.2% |
| Adelita Grijalva D | 716 | 42.4% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 6 | 0.4% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
1,688 valid selections. 4 of 4 precincts reporting.
Daniel Francis Butierez Sr. ahead by 250 votes (14.8 points).
Called statewide: Grijalva. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 80,236 | 56.9% |
| No | 60,758 | 43.1% |
140,994 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 19,478 votes (13.8 points).
Statewide forecast: Yes 83%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| No | 78,248 | 55.4% |
| Yes | 63,076 | 44.6% |
141,324 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
No ahead by 15,172 votes (10.7 points).
Statewide forecast: No >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 78,036 | 54.3% |
| No | 65,775 | 45.7% |
143,811 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 12,261 votes (8.5 points).
Statewide forecast: No >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99,188 | 69.7% |
| No | 43,109 | 30.3% |
142,297 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 56,079 votes (39.4 points).
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 94,323 | 66.0% |
| No | 48,577 | 34.0% |
142,900 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 45,746 votes (32.0 points).
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 96,780 | 67.8% |
| No | 45,884 | 32.2% |
142,664 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 50,896 votes (35.7 points).
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 91,954 | 64.6% |
| No | 50,353 | 35.4% |
142,307 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 41,601 votes (29.2 points).
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 76,924 | 54.6% |
| No | 63,901 | 45.4% |
140,825 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 13,023 votes (9.2 points).
Statewide forecast: No 93%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 90,085 | 73.8% |
| No | 32,040 | 26.2% |
122,125 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 58,045 votes (47.5 points).
Meets standards in the Commission on Judicial Performance Review · On the bench since 2023
| Rated acceptable or better | Score | Typical | Responses | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legal ability | 94% | 97% | 18 | |
| Integrity | 100% | 100% | 16 | |
| Communication | 100% | 100% | 11 | |
| Temperament | 100% | 100% | 11 | |
| Administration | 100% | 100% | 14 | |
22 of 102 voluntary surveys returned, February–September 2025, the later of two survey periods. Typical, the gold mark, is the median of the 15 appeals and Supreme Court judges reviewed.
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 87,100 | 71.4% |
| No | 34,915 | 28.6% |
122,015 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 52,185 votes (42.8 points).
Meets standards in the Commission on Judicial Performance Review · On the bench since 2017
At or above the typical judge in every category.
| Rated acceptable or better | Score | Typical | Responses | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legal ability | 100% | 97% | 11 | |
| Integrity | 100% | 100% | 11 | |
| Communication | 100% | 100% | 9 | |
| Temperament | 100% | 100% | 9 | |
| Administration | 100% | 100% | 11 | |
13 of 89 voluntary surveys returned, February–September 2025, the later of two survey periods. Typical, the gold mark, is the median of the 15 appeals and Supreme Court judges reviewed.
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 87,433 | 71.7% |
| No | 34,593 | 28.3% |
122,026 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 52,840 votes (43.3 points).
Meets standards in the Commission on Judicial Performance Review · On the bench since 2023
Furthest below typical: Legal ability, 90% against 97%.
| Rated acceptable or better | Score | Typical | Responses | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legal ability | 90% | 97% | 26 | |
| Integrity | 95% | 100% | 22 | |
| Communication | 93% | 100% | 11 | |
| Temperament | 91% | 100% | 11 | |
| Administration | 100% | 100% | 25 | |
31 of 141 voluntary surveys returned, February–September 2025, the later of two survey periods. Typical, the gold mark, is the median of the 15 appeals and Supreme Court judges reviewed.
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 84,764 | 68.0% |
| No | 39,890 | 32.0% |
124,654 valid selections. 136 of 136 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 44,874 votes (36.0 points).
Meets standards in the Commission on Judicial Performance Review · On the bench since 2017
At or above the typical judge in every category.
| Rated acceptable or better | Score | Typical | Responses | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legal ability | 100% | 97% | 15 | |
| Integrity | 100% | 100% | 15 | |
| Communication | 100% | 100% | 19 | |
| Temperament | 100% | 100% | 20 | |
| Administration | 100% | 100% | 12 | |
26 of 127 voluntary surveys returned, February–September 2025, the later of two survey periods. Typical, the gold mark, is the median of the 15 appeals and Supreme Court judges reviewed.
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
Largest first, using dated population estimates. Population describes the whole municipality and is not used to allocate votes. A place spanning counties has one canonical page linked from each containing county.
Final county returns from 2000–2024. Different offices and electorates make this context for 2026, not a like-for-like estimate of the current election's final result.
| Year | Democratic votes | Republican votes | All votes | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 19,650 | 20,122 | 41,290 | R +1.1 |
| 2004 | 27,252 | 37,006 | 64,622 | R +15.1 |
| 2008 | 44,254 | 59,421 | 104,883 | R +14.5 |
| 2012 | 44,306 | 62,079 | 108,315 | R +16.4 |
| 2016 | 47,892 | 72,819 | 129,546 | R +19.2 |
| 2020 | 75,105 | 107,076 | 184,972 | R +17.3 |
| 2024 | 80,665 | 126,987 | 209,514 | R +22.1 |
Margin is Democratic minus Republican share of all valid votes. Historical returns are final; current returns remain unofficial. MIT Election Data and Science Lab (CC0 (MEDSL)); Polling Forecast; original VEST (CC BY 4.0 (VEST / Polling Forecast)); Polling Forecast; original MEDSL (CC0 (MEDSL); CC BY 4.0 (Polling Forecast redistribution)).
We do not infer local winners, certification, turnout, remaining ballots or citywide or districtwide results from precinct percentages, population, county totals or the number of seats. Your own ballot depends on your registered address.