Legislative District 20
Here's what we think will happen: Alma Hernandez, Sally Ann Gonzales and Betty Villegas. Votes come from the state's official results; the estimate is ours.
State Senate
Our estimate: Alma Hernandez, >99% chance of winning.
| Candidate | Votes | Share now | Projected | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alma Hernandez | 38,588 | 95.6% | 95.5% | >99% |
About 10,671 votes left. 0 of 54 precincts reporting.
| County | Votes | Counted | Hernandez |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pima | 40,373 | 79% | 95.6% |
State House
Our estimate: Sally Ann Gonzales, >99% chance of winning; Betty Villegas, >99% chance of winning.
| Candidate | Votes | Share now | Projected | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sally Ann Gonzales | 34,433 | 49.4% | 49.4% | >99% |
 Betty Villegas | 33,814 | 48.5% | 48.5% | >99% |
About 18,411 votes left. 0 of 54 precincts reporting. Voters choose 2, so totals count selections, not ballots.
| County | Votes | Counted | Gonzales | Villegas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pima | 69,652 | 79% | 49.4% | 48.5% |
How this estimate works
We take each county's votes so far and its estimated share counted, then ask how the remaining votes could change the order, running the count many times with different errors. In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 21 points more Republican than that report, in the same places. An early Democratic lead here can shrink. The estimate expects part of that shift. This isn't a race call, and these chances are provisional. How the forecast works.