Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research
Forecasts. Results. Evidence.
Arizona · 2026 election coverage
2026 election results and ballot analysis for the county's share of state and federal contests. Explore local offices, propositions and the communities within La Paz County.
An estimate, from the county's progress in the governor's race. How Arizona's count runs.
State and federal coverage. This page includes the county's portion of the statewide results. Local county offices, municipal contests, school boards and special districts may be missing. See the county's official results for that coverage.
Results file posted Nov 5, 5:26 PM. Source checked Nov 5, 5:30 PM.
Observed returns, unofficial until certified. “Ahead” describes the current count; it is not a local race call. Candidate selections in multi-seat contests are not ballots. Precinct reporting does not establish how many ballots remain.
5,277 valid candidate selections are reported for governor in this county observation. Andy Biggs / Sine Kerr ahead by 1,634 votes (31.0 points).
This is a county portion of a statewide contest. A county lead is not a statewide election outcome.
Corporation Commissioner: 1,442 votes between the current last seat position and the next candidate.
The smallest verifiable seat-boundary gap among covered candidate contests with a known seat count. A gap is withheld if unassigned write-ins could change its ranking. District races show this county's portion.
Among the 8 covered propositions with yes/no choices, Yes is ahead in 7 and No in 1. Ties and unreported counts remain unresolved. These are observed leads, not declarations that a measure passed or failed.
All named candidates and reported write-in groups are retained. Shares use valid candidate selections for that contest, excluding overvotes and undervotes. A multi-seat share is not the percentage of voters supporting a candidate.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Warren Petersen R | 3,508 | 66.9% |
| Kris Mayes D | 1,726 | 32.9% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 6 | 0.1% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
5,240 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
Warren Petersen ahead by 1,782 votes (34.0 points).
Statewide forecast: Mayes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Thompson R | 3,214 | 35.1% |
| Ralph Heap R | 2,927 | 32.0% |
| Clara Pratte D | 1,485 | 16.2% |
| Jonathon Hill D | 1,362 | 14.9% |
| Mike Cease G | 161 | 1.8% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 8 | 0.1% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
9,157 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
1,442 votes between the current last seat position and the next candidate.
Statewide forecast: Pratte >99%, Hill 98%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Biggs / Sine Kerr R | 3,392 | 64.3% |
| Katie Hobbs / John Giles D | 1,758 | 33.3% |
| Teri Ann Hourihan / Angela Harrolle Mohan N | 74 | 1.4% |
| Risa Lombardo / Lisa Castillo G | 48 | 0.9% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 5 | 0.1% |
| Alice Novoa R | 0 | 0.0% |
| Gertritrude Gonzalez R | 0 | 0.0% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
5,277 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
Andy Biggs / Sine Kerr ahead by 1,634 votes (31.0 points).
Called statewide: Hobbs. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Kolodin R | 3,474 | 66.2% |
| Adrian Fontes D | 1,667 | 31.8% |
| Duwayne Collier G | 98 | 1.9% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 5 | 0.1% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
5,244 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
Alexander Kolodin ahead by 1,807 votes (34.5 points).
Statewide forecast: Fontes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Walter "Les" Presmyk R | 3,565 | 68.7% |
| Brian Matlock D | 1,613 | 31.1% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 11 | 0.2% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
5,189 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
Walter "Les" Presmyk ahead by 1,952 votes (37.6 points).
Statewide forecast: Matlock 97%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| David Rose R | 3,114 | 40.5% |
| Mike Gannuscio R | 2,900 | 37.7% |
| Brian McMahan D | 1,658 | 21.5% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 25 | 0.3% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
7,697 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
1,242 votes between the current last seat position and the next candidate.
Statewide forecast: Gannuscio >99%, Rose >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Leo Biasiucci R | 3,933 | 97.5% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 102 | 2.5% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
4,035 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
Reported candidate selections; no local race call or seat outcome is inferred.
Statewide forecast: Biasiucci >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Elijah Norton R | 3,574 | 68.5% |
| Nick Mansour D | 1,637 | 31.4% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 8 | 0.2% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
5,219 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
Elijah Norton ahead by 1,937 votes (37.1 points).
Statewide forecast: Mansour >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Kimberly Yee R | 3,577 | 68.6% |
| Teresa Leyba Ruiz D | 1,624 | 31.1% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 10 | 0.2% |
| Stephen Neal Jr. N | 2 | 0.0% |
| Gerard Davis G | 1 | 0.0% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
5,214 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
Kimberly Yee ahead by 1,953 votes (37.5 points).
Statewide forecast: Ruiz 98%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Gosar R | 3,560 | 68.4% |
| Danielle "Dani" Sterbinsky D | 1,637 | 31.4% |
| Unofficial Write-in | 5 | 0.1% |
| William Perry I | 4 | 0.1% |
| G. Seville Hatch I | 1 | 0.0% |
| Unassigned Write-in | 0 | 0.0% |
5,207 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
Paul Gosar ahead by 1,923 votes (36.9 points).
Called statewide: Gosar. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3,072 | 61.7% |
| No | 1,909 | 38.3% |
4,981 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 1,163 votes (23.3 points).
Statewide forecast: Yes 83%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| No | 2,528 | 51.3% |
| Yes | 2,402 | 48.7% |
4,930 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
No ahead by 126 votes (2.6 points).
Statewide forecast: No >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3,459 | 67.5% |
| No | 1,663 | 32.5% |
5,122 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 1,796 votes (35.1 points).
Statewide forecast: No >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3,664 | 72.6% |
| No | 1,386 | 27.4% |
5,050 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 2,278 votes (45.1 points).
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3,948 | 77.2% |
| No | 1,163 | 22.8% |
5,111 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 2,785 votes (54.5 points).
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4,004 | 78.4% |
| No | 1,100 | 21.6% |
5,104 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 2,904 votes (56.9 points).
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3,329 | 65.7% |
| No | 1,737 | 34.3% |
5,066 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 1,592 votes (31.4 points).
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3,150 | 64.1% |
| No | 1,766 | 35.9% |
4,916 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 1,384 votes (28.2 points).
Statewide forecast: No 93%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3,059 | 74.4% |
| No | 1,054 | 25.6% |
4,113 valid selections. 11 of 11 precincts reporting.
Yes ahead by 2,005 votes (48.7 points).
Meets standards in the Commission on Judicial Performance Review · On the bench since 2017
At or above the typical judge in every category.
| Rated acceptable or better | Score | Typical | Responses | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legal ability | 100% | 97% | 15 | |
| Integrity | 100% | 100% | 15 | |
| Communication | 100% | 100% | 19 | |
| Temperament | 100% | 100% | 20 | |
| Administration | 100% | 100% | 12 | |
26 of 127 voluntary surveys returned, February–September 2025, the later of two survey periods. Typical, the gold mark, is the median of the 15 appeals and Supreme Court judges reviewed.
Statewide forecast: Yes >99%. This is the county's share of a bigger contest.
Largest first, using dated population estimates. Population describes the whole municipality and is not used to allocate votes. A place spanning counties has one canonical page linked from each containing county.
Final county returns from 2000–2024. Different offices and electorates make this context for 2026, not a like-for-like estimate of the current election's final result.
| Year | Democratic votes | Republican votes | All votes | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 1,769 | 2,543 | 4,483 | R +17.3 |
| 2004 | 1,849 | 3,158 | 5,055 | R +25.9 |
| 2008 | 1,929 | 3,509 | 5,552 | R +28.5 |
| 2012 | 1,880 | 3,714 | 5,717 | R +32.1 |
| 2016 | 1,575 | 4,003 | 5,951 | R +40.8 |
| 2020 | 2,239 | 5,139 | 7,471 | R +38.8 |
| 2024 | 2,101 | 5,473 | 7,600 | R +44.4 |
Margin is Democratic minus Republican share of all valid votes. Historical returns are final; current returns remain unofficial. MIT Election Data and Science Lab (CC0 (MEDSL)); Polling Forecast; original VEST (CC BY 4.0 (VEST / Polling Forecast)); Polling Forecast; original MEDSL (CC0 (MEDSL); CC BY 4.0 (Polling Forecast redistribution)).
We do not infer local winners, certification, turnout, remaining ballots or citywide or districtwide results from precinct percentages, population, county totals or the number of seats. Your own ballot depends on your registered address.