Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States

Rhode Island

All races decided. The state's House vote has moved D +8.5 since 2024. D +17.6 since 2022.

How the count runs here

In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 7 points more Democratic than that report, in the same places. An early Republican lead here can shrink.

Stats

Each race against past elections

RaceSince 2024Since 2022
U.S. SenateD +24.7—
District 1D +9.9D +14.3
District 2D +7.3D +20.2

Statewide

U.S. Senate

Jack Reed won
66.8%238,971
Raymond McKay
29.4%105,126
Michael Bahry
3.8%13,491
90% counted

Governor

Helena Foulkes won
57.9%206,892
Ken Block
27.9%99,615
Aaron Guckian
13.2%47,251
90% counted

Congress

District 1

Gabriel Amo won
68.6%111,215
Kellie Keenan
27.6%44,775
Pedro de Souza
3.8%6,166
94% counted

District 2

Seth Magaziner won
62.0%120,282
Victor Mellor
38.0%73,659
90% counted

Counties

CountyVotesCountedSince 2024Since 2022
Providence182,64294%D +22.1D +18.9
Kent64,57388%D +17.1D +19.5
Washington56,21389%D +11.5D +15.9
Newport32,33394%D +12.3D +11.1
Bristol20,33693%D +15.1D +14.7