Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

New Hampshire · Governor

New Hampshire Governor

Kelly Ayotte wins. Called.

91% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Kelly Ayotte R won 302,386 50.9%
Cinde Warmington D 282,795 47.6%
Stephen Villee L 8,953 1.5%
Total594,134

Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By town

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Salem 13,511 R +26.1 R +19.0 R +7.1 92%
Derry 12,459 R +12.1 R +12.0 R +0.2 87%
Londonderry 12,282 R +15.7 R +4.8 R +10.9 95%
Bedford 11,523 R +17.1 D +3.3 R +20.5 98%
Merrimack 10,902 R +8.7 D +2.3 R +11.0 77%
Hudson 10,535 R +20.4 R +11.0 R +9.4 92%
Hampton 8,888 R +9.5 D +6.5 R +16.1 100%
Exeter 8,519 D +22.7 D +33.4 R +10.7 100%
Goffstown 7,899 R +10.8 R +3.0 R +7.9 94%
Windham 7,643 R +24.8 R +11.9 R +12.9 96%
Milford check source 7,125 R +5.1 D +5.5 — 96%
Milton check source 7,125 R +5.1 R +23.8 — 100%
Hooksett 6,766 R +14.1 R +4.8 R +9.3 95%
Pelham 6,688 R +30.8 R +25.4 R +5.4 92%
Amherst 6,673 R +2.9 D +16.5 R +19.4 100%
Durham 5,530 D +54.7 D +45.4 D +9.3 86%
Hanover 5,529 D +59.8 D +71.7 R +11.9 98%
Manchester 1 5,082 D +16.9 D +20.4 R +3.5 100%
Hollis 4,927 R +8.1 D +12.3 R +20.3 100%
Newmarket 4,907 D +26.9 D +31.9 R +5.0 100%
Nashua 5 4,871 R +2.6 D +8.6 R +11.2 100%
Barrington 4,787 R +1.3 D +4.1 R +5.4 95%
Nashua 1 4,774 R +0.2 D +11.7 R +11.9 100%
Hampstead 4,632 R +25.3 R +19.0 R +6.3 97%
Stratham 4,609 D +3.1 D +20.5 R +17.4 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+1,953 votes594,134R +3.3
+1,754 votes592,181R +3.4
+97 votes590,427R +3.3
+6,094 votes590,330R +3.3
+45 votes584,236R +3.2
+2,275 votes584,191R +3.2
+42 votes581,916R +3.3
+36 votes581,874R +3.3
+32 votes581,838R +3.3
+330 votes581,806R +3.3
+2,845 votes581,476R +3.3
+26 votes578,631R +3.4