Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Alabama · U.S. House

Alabama 1st District

Jerry Carl wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Jerry Carl R won 137,025 59.1%
Clyde Jones D 94,940 40.9%
Total231,965

Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Mobile 126,877 D +3.7 R +16.6 D +20.3 100%
Baldwin 85,431 R +44.3 R +58.7 D +14.4 100%
Covington 9,943 R +58.5 R +72.1 D +13.6 100%
Escambia 9,714 R +31.4 R +46.6 D +15.3 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+2,346 votes231,965R +18.1
+22,084 votes229,619R +18.1
+37,410 votes207,535R +15.5
+3,896 votes170,125R +8.9
+34,316 votes166,229R +8.9
+1,847 votes131,913R +7.6
+19,438 votes130,066R +7.0
+91,346 votes110,628Even
+548 votes19,282R +42.4
+176 votes18,734R +41.8
+1,088 votes18,558R +41.5
+670 votes17,470R +40.8